Managing Heat Risk: Strengthening Resilience in India’s Banking Sector
Dr Insha Ahad Wani
Key Insights
1. Extreme heat is emerging as a material financial risk for Indian banks. Nearly a quarter of bank credit (24.36%) is directed to labour-intensive, heat-exposed sectors such as agriculture and construction, and over 70% of total credit flows to just 11 states with the highest heat-risk exposure, concentrating vulnerability across both sectors and geographies.
2. Despite growing evidence linking heat stress to rising delinquency and eroding asset quality, Indian banks remain largely unprepared in practice, with weak heat-specific underwriting and credit and liquidity stress testing. Climate disclosure also remains rhetorical rather than operational.
3. Heat-proofing India’s banking system requires action on two fronts simultaneously. One, banks must build internal resilience through heat-sensitive risk monitoring, portfolio diversification, and stronger capital buffers. Two, the state and regulators must reduce borrower-side vulnerability through well-funded heat action plans, early-warning systems, and scalable parametric heat insurance.